Tuesday, January 31, 2006

To bring this up for business casual. a men's trend (zt)

Men Dress for (Retail) Success
As males increasingly focus on improving their wardrobes, retailers and manufacturers follow suit -- and the strategy is paying off


Men are getting spiffy. The pendulum of workplace fashion has swung sharply back from khakis and polo shirts to suits, blazers, and dress shirts, all of which are selling briskly again. Advertisement

The numbers speak for themselves: Jos. A. Bank Clothiers (JOSB ), a chain of 318 stores for mens tailored clothing and footwear, says its sales soared 20.7% in December in stores open at least a year. Its catalog and Internet sales jumped 34.1% in the same month. The Men's Wearhouse (MW ), a 720-store chain, said December same-store sales jumped 8.1%. "The growth comes from men's suits and sports coats," says George Zimmer, founder and CEO of Men's Wearhouse, which sells tailored business attire (see BW, 11/1/04, "Spiffing Up Men's Wearhouse").

It all started a couple of years ago, when manufacturers noticed that young male's shopping habits were starting to mimic those of women. Their interest in personal grooming gave birth to a host of products in the men's face care, aftershave, and deodorant aisles of pharmacies and department stores. Unilever (UN ) introduced Axe, Procter & Gamble (PG ) repositioned Old Spice, and Beiersdorf's Nivea for Men and Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ ) Neutrogena Men gained popularity. This trend also gave birth to the term "metrosexual," representing male consumers who like to shop and look good.

WHITE-COLLAR CONCERNS. Retail consultant Wendy Liebmann of WSL Strategic Retail says she has seen a blurring of lines in the shopping habits of men and women. In the same vein, good fit and the tailored look have become just as important for men as they are for women. Wall Street has rewarded companies that have responded to these changing attitudes. Men's Wearhouse stock is now trading at $31.83, off its 52-week high of $37.44, but still up 47% since January, 2005. And Jos. A. Bank's shares are trading at $47.38, off slightly from their 52-week high of $50.78, but up 64% in the past year (see BW Online, 6/10/05, "For Dear Old Dad, Stocks Beat Socks").

Many men are choosing the neat look because they feel the need to appear professional in an uncertain employment environment, where white-collar jobs are moving offshore, say retail experts. At the same time, men are spending more time shopping for themselves, especially twentysomethings. "Younger men have been raised in dual-income households, where they have always shopped for themselves, as opposed to mom buying their things like in previous generations," says Annette McEvoy, a New York retail consultant.

Research done by WSL Strategic Retail shows that 74% of men today personally decide what they buy for themselves. There's also a change in where these men shop -- 50% of younger men prefer to buy at discount clothing stores, compared to 22% in 2002. No wonder a chain like Men's Wearhouse has benefited, given that its price points are 20% to 30% below those at department stores.

Plus, these men's stores offer a nonthreatening experience. "Men's Wearhouse offers a comfortable men's shopping environment with knowledgeable sales representatives who can put together a simple wardrobe for not a lot of money," says Jason Asaeda, retail equity analyst at Standard & Poor's.

TECH ADVANCES. These same men are taking off their polo shirts and donning dress shirts. So it makes sense that Phillips-Van Heusen (PVH ) on Jan. 10 raised its fourth-quarter earnings forecast to 37 cents per share from 28 cents per share. The apparel maker estimates that quarterly revenue will be between $470 million and $475 million, an increase of 14% to 15% over the year-earlier quarter. Its stock is now trading at $34.97, near its 52-week high of $36.83, and a gain of 32% from January, 2005.

Dress shirts, which represent 25% of the total portfolio, have been the strongest part of the business for Phillips-Van Heusen, which makes dress shirts for the Van Heusen, Chaps, Kenneth Cole, Geoffrey Beene, and Calvin Klein brands. "Men wear dress shirts in three different ways: One is the dress shirt with the tie, one is the dress shirt without a tie, and at night as casual wear," says Mark Weber, CEO of Phillips-Van Heusen.

Male shoppers are also responding to technological advances that make clothing wrinkle-free, stain-resistant, and water-repellent -- clearly great reasons to update a wardrobe. Research firm NPD Group found that 61% of shoppers who bought clothes last year were lured by the wrinkle-free aspect, 47% by the stain-resistant quality, 45% by the water-repellent attribute, and 38% by adjustable waistbands.

Such advances have fueled sales at Jos. A. Bank Clothiers. "Sportswear and performance products have had strong sales, particularly our Traveler all-cotton, stain-resistant pants and our Traveler all-cotton, wrinkle-free sport shirts," says Neal Black, chief merchandising officer at Jos. A. Bank.

EXPANDING HORIZONS. These men's specialty stores have been so successful that even the real estate community is taking notice. Developers of new shopping centers want to ensure that they include such stores to attract this demographic of shoppers. "We're now considered first on the real estate community list on every new development that comes online. This is markedly in contrast to five years ago, when we weren't even on any lists," says Jos. A. Bank Chief Executive Robert Wildrick.

With mall developments introducing these stores to newer locales, more men may be trading in their sweats for suits -- which looks good for retailers poised to cash in on the boom.

Friday, January 27, 2006

二月河:笑侃“过年”

2006年01月27日

  中国人最讲究什么?打开二十四史看。无论春秋达意,抑或信史直述,其实讲得最扎实的只有两个字:礼与孝。由此发端衍化出来的崇拜情节,各个时代叫法版本不同。到了清代,中国社会风景最茂的时候,叫作“敬天法祖”。这是社会生活中最重要的精神内核。平常时节只是在言语生活行为中“体现”。到过年,也正是劳累一年“该歇歇气儿”时,农业国,这时是全民都有点空闲时间的,于是便张忙这事。
  打开《红楼梦》看,贾府里说得最热闹的事,不是宝玉、黛玉等一团团的“恋爱雾”,也不是飞长流短的各种人事演绎,元旦祭祀,是贾府内部最郑重最繁复的社会活动。其实何止贾府?贾府如是动作,与之同时,普天下的人都在动。我们现在是“二十三,送灶王爷上天”———农历二十三,全民进入“年时”。
  腊月二十三送灶王爷上天,二十四扫房子,二十五磨豆腐,二十六去割肉,二十七杀灶鸡,二十八把面发(蒸馒头),二十九灌(买)黄酒,三十(儿)捏鼻儿(包饺子),初一(儿)拱揖……天天干什么,不用政府下令,全民都一致。就是白痴,怎么过年?“傻子过年看隔壁”———我傻,瞧人家包饺子,我也包。过年时所有的傻子都会聪明得如同正常人。我有一本《请嘉录》,里头有专写腊月正月的过法的。其实,真正的情况是:入腊月,忙年就开始:跳灶王、跳钟馗、吃腊八粥、做年糕、制冷肉、送皇历、叫火烛(乞丐们每夜打梆子喊“小心火烛”)打尘埃、过年(放鞭炮送诸神)蒸盘龙馒头……一天有一天的事,都是规定好了的“口令”。正规的进入“年”,却比我们今天迟了一天,是腊月二十四,叫“廿四夜送灶”。
  过年的国家,不止我们。一些东南亚国家几乎与我们是“同步进行”的。我住在南阳,每到年二十三夜十二点,满城的爆竹会响得暴雨一样,近处的“嘣”、“叭”震耳欲聋,远处的不分个儿,有点像开锅的稀粥。这个时候,我常常到阳台上去看,呀!到处都闪烁着爆竹光火,二踢脚、地老鼠、小焰火,明灭不定中伴着清脆或沉郁的爆响。有时下雪,那就更好看,硝烟中闪着光,雪片被染成五彩缤纷在硝烟中荡漾,夹着密不透风的响声……那是什么景观?你来看看才知道,二月河用笔跟你说不明白,拍照片不行,录音也不行,录像摄像呢?恐怕都不行,气氛是没法“表达”的。
  城里人现在简单,在这样的“气氛”下全家吃点、喝点,打开电视“看点”什么。乡里人还是要祭灶的,胖乎乎的灶君夫妇,两旁贴着对联“上天言好事,下地保平安”。香烟缭绕中人神欢喜。《请嘉录》里头说得就更热闹:家家“以胶牙饧祀之,俗称糖元宝,又以米粉裹豆沙馅为饵,名曰谢灶团,祭时妇女不得予。先期僧尼分帖,檀越灶经,至是填写姓氏,焚化禳灾……穿竹筯作杠,为灶神之签,升神上天,焚送门神火光如昼……”太繁复了,这还不到五分之一的“工作”。清人杨秉桂有诗:残腊匆匆一年又,门丞贴旧须眉皱。
  祀灶人家好语多,烛影草堂红善富。
  接下来的年事令人愈来愈眼花缭乱:灯挂、挂锭、买冬青柏枝、喝口数粥(赤豆杂米粥,食之可免“罪过”)、接玉皇、烧松盆、照田财、送年盘、存年物、过年市———就是亲友来往,送东西,备年货,火爆喜庆气氛充满人世间。佛天人物似乎都亢奋起来了。到除夕这一天,新门神贴出去,一切正常的社会业务全部停止。比如说:做生意、谈事儿、讨债要账———这样惹人烦的事,对不起,你不能进门了,有话过罢年再说!
  除夕夜,合家团聚、举宴,这一条“规矩”,我们至今仍旧坚持执行着。这一夜是一个家族一年之中最欢乐、最郑重、最富足、最……什么呢?最和谐温馨的一夜。家中多少事都放下。为了多享受一些这样的“幸福时刻”,形成的规矩叫“守岁”,也有叫“熬年”的。一家人围炉团坐,说喜庆话,说福禄,说丰收,说祖上之德,说丰年有余,说到后半夜,小孩子熬不住,睡在大人怀里,大人们撑着眼皮搭讪着还在说。这天晚上吃饺子,北方家家如此。
  我的姑姑说:“年岁夜的饺子大家包,但你奶奶要一个一个仔细看。(往锅里)下饺子,只有你奶奶看锅。这图的吉利,一个饺子也不能煮破的。”饺子皮不够,不能说“皮儿少了”,要喊“馅儿多了”。馅儿少了也不能说,要喊“皮儿多了!”我们如今是锅一开,笊篱一捞,合家就吃。昔时的吃法,头一碗捞出来,必定是恭恭敬敬供到祖宗牌位前,满供桌的供享呀!各色点心油炸面食、冷肉……都是平时根本吃不到的,琳琅满目供在桌上。老爷子带全家老小“给祖上磕头”。上供上香,礼敬如生,循循下退。然后是后辈子孙给健在的老爷子、老太太磕头,领压岁钱。这些事毕,才能开怀痛吃、痛饮。我父亲说过他幼时偷吃供享的轶事———那盘点心太诱惑他了,他偷吃了两块,把余下的重新码齐了,躲出去。等了一会儿又忍不住,再过去偷吃两块……后来,见重新码盘子也掩不住“偷吃”的事儿了,索性一不做二不休,把满盘点心吃了个精光……爷爷倒也没有责罚他。关于这一夜,清·周宗泰姑苏竹枝词云:妻孥一室话团圆,鱼肉瓜茄杂果盘,下筯频教听谶语,家家家里阖家欢。这年夜是诸神降临时,说什么就会应什么,人说话都托着舌头,稍不吉利的一句也不说。
  还有一项颇有意思的活动,今天已
  经失传,那就是“镜听”。这件事从祭灶开始到正月十五,几乎每家都作,预卜来年家庭形势———大清早起来,怀里揣面镜子,到祖宗牌前念念有词“并光娄俪,终逢协吉”。然后出门,听见外人说的第一句话,比如说“您好”、“您吉祥”———得,这就是你一年的兆头。这件事我在写康熙大帝时移植了进去,写明珠用镜听卜算考试功名的事。再接下来的年事:行春、打春、耕春、拜牌、接喜神、上年坟、小年朝、接路头、看参星、斋天、走之桥、放烟火———到闹元宵,一连三天闹,轰轰烈烈的年事告结。
  三年前我到马来西亚,听当地华人说:“我们这里过圣诞,也过年、过元旦。”祭天地、祀祖宗的活动仍旧热闹红火。我在大陆看我们自己过年,也伴着圣诞和元旦,随着浓重年节硝烟的弥漫,东方的神和西方的神在天上握手,东西方文明也在糅合,快乐而庄重的钟声交织着、撞击着,会给普天下送来丙戌年的春天。


《人民日报海外版》 (2006年01月27日 第八版)

Saturday, January 14, 2006

05年最一针见血的199句话

http://news.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=news&MsgID=164603

Tuesday, January 10, 2006

06中国大学排行榜揭晓 清华北大浙大蝉联三甲

文章来源: 大学春秋 于 2006-01-10

中文核心期刊《科学学与科学技术管理》杂志2006年第1期刊登了中国管理科学研究院科学学研究所武书连、吕嘉、郭石林的《2006中国大学评价》。清华大学以267.55分名列第一名,北京大学、浙江大学分别以226.61分、208.03分获得第二、第三名。清华、北大、浙大已经连续7年蝉联中国大学三甲。进入前10名的大学依次还有:上海交通大学、复旦大学、南京大学、华中科技大学、武汉大学、吉林大学、中山大学。与上一年度的前10名相比,上海交通大学由第7名上升到第4名,复旦大学、南京大学、华中科技大学因上海交大连升三名而各下跌一名。

武书连认为,上海交通大学由第7名上升到第4名有两个原因。一个是上海交通大学与上海第二医科大学合并,强强联合产生了综合实力更强大的新上海交通大学;但这不是主要的,主要的原因是上海交通大学在过去的10年自身高速成长。上海交大在1997年是第21名,如果上交和上二医两校不合并,上海交通大学在2006年也会排在第5名。武书连说,如果原上交和原上二医迅速融合,上海交通大学保持最近10年的发展速度,那么将在三年以后挑战浙江大学第三名的位置。若干年以后,上海交通大学与清华北大并肩进入世界一流大学,甚至先行一步也是可能的。因为最近几年清华北大的发展速度明显低于上海交通大学,浙江大学的发展速度也高于清华北大。

  《中国大学评价》课题组还评出了15所2006年中国一流大学。2006年中国一流大学名单和数量与上年完全相同。区别在于:北京大学医学从第二名上升到第一名,中国协和医科大学医学由第一名降为第二名;清华大学管理学从第三名上升到第二名,浙江大学管理学由第二名降为第三名;天津大学工学从第六名上升为第五名,华中科技大学工学由第五名降为第六名。从历年的数据分析,中国协和医科大学一旦失去医学第一名,就很难逆转。

  以武书连为组长的《中国大学评价》课题组还评出了36所2006年中国研究型大学。中国地质大学首次进入研究型大学。不过,由于中国地质大学已经分别在武汉、北京两地以中国地质大学(北京)、中国地质大学(武汉)两个校名分别单独办学,各类资源设施等也将陆续分开,故此次进入研究型大学实际是对过去几十年办学效果的总结。两校完全分开后,无论是中国地质大学(北京)还是中国地质大学(武汉)都很难再进入研究型大学。

  与上年相比,贵州大学(与贵州工业大学合并)、成都理工大学、江南大学、中国药科大学、河北工业大学、华北电力大学等6校进入中国大学前100名,其中贵州大学、江南大学、中国药科大学、河北工业大学、华北电力大学等5校是211工程大学。

  《中国大学评价》课题组同时完成了理学、工学、农学、医学、哲学、经济学、法学、教育学、文学、历史学、管理学等十一个学科门类的排名。清华大学获得工学第一名,北京大学获得理学、医学、哲学、法学、文学第一名,中国农业大学获得农学第一名,中国人民大学获得经济学第一名,北京师范大学获得教育学、历史学第一名,西安交通大学获得管理学第一名。

  课题组也对中国大学300个本科专业进行了排名,北京大学、清华大学的本科专业第一名数量大幅领先其他大学。

  2006中国大学排行榜的全部内容见武书连主编、中国统计出版社出版的《挑大学 选专业-2006高考志愿填报指南》。